NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6501e3c98c19c785ad0f335a954318fe003d0f99b3498df6ee8b4a412c91d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 46c | 42,485$19,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,801.43 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 53c | 28,773$15,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,351.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 54c | 13,135$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wizards | 55c | 8,793$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…2f03backed Wizards | 51c | 5,811$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…35dabacked Hawks | 49c | 5,454$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…0341backed Wizards | 51c | 5,388$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…3699backed Hawks | 49c | 5,211$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…ff9dbacked Hawks | 49c | 5,125$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e7c4backed Wizards | 51c | 4,919$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…cf20backed Wizards | 51c | 4,711$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…67d9backed Hawks | 49c | 4,711$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…9a91backed Hawks | 49c | 4,499$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…f51abacked Hawks | 49c | 4,020$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0549backed Wizards | 51c | 4,001$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810e…c4e2backed Hawks | 49c | 3,616$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…43bfbacked Wizards | 51c | 3,616$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…131cbacked Hawks | 49c | 3,611$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…d730backed Wizards | 51c | 3,604$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…7e3ebacked Hawks | 49c | 3,552$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…76a9backed Hawks | 49c | 3,525$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…c24ebacked Wizards | 51c | 3,303$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…c16fbacked Wizards | 51c | 3,202$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,673$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.46 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…7261backed Wizards | 51c | 2,536$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…c641backed Wizards | 51c | 2,516$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…bd74backed Hawks | 49c | 2,506$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa2…f9b5backed Wizards | 51c | 2,452$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…fedabacked Wizards | 51c | 2,449$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…edbdbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,425$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a759backed Hawks | 49c | 2,332$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…3285backed Hawks | 49c | 2,256$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…074dbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 10c | 2,102$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Wizards | 54c | 1,988$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.3 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…ba60backed Wizards | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…aa06backed Hawks | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 46c | 1,890$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…fce0backed Wizards | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hawks | 50c | 1,735$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.65 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 54c | 1,374$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…0441backed Hawks | 49c | 1,325$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…202abacked Wizards | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…6f5fbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,095$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 54c | 993$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 55c | 832.35$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wizards | 3c | 807.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 55c | 800$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 53c | 799.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 50c | 684$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.94 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…9688backed Hawks | 49c | 656$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 52c | 554.65$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 54c | 531$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…8732backed Wizards | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 36c | 370.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Hawks | 47c | 299.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hawks | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Hawks | 47c | 242.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Wizards | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks | 49c | 177.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hawks | 48c | 159.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards | 52c | 154.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…cc77backed Hawks | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Wizards | 52c | 133.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Wizards | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…af05backed Hawks | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Wizards | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 52c | 129.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 49c | 105.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 30c | 98.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 53c | 97.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Wizards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 53c | 91.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Wizards | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hawks | 46c | 86.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Hawks | 70c | 84.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Wizards | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Wizards | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wizards | 54c | 48.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Wizards | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Hawks | 46c | 46.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Hawks | 46c | 44.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 27c | 41.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks | 63c | 40.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Hawks | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.