NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28285c1808fd58ad978d0eaaec15041d4adc88e70c1d42893fe48dd3c5d0a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 17,810$9,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,174.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 15,165$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,230.38 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 11,660$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 9,494$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.83 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Under | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Over | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 49c | 6,136$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.29 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 5,895$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.05 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 5,722$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.68 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 5,130$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 52c | 5,123$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.08 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,899$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.33 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 3,963$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.75 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 43c | 2,614$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.89 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…c1ecbacked Under | 47c | 1,934$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 53c | 1,637$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.41 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 48c | 1,371$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 1,353$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.27 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,031$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.49 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 54c | 1,004$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.97 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 874.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 841.67$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.67 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 51c | 831.71$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.52 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 49c | 773$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.23 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 773$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.23 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 691.56$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 54c | 652.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…a534backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 601.7$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 53c | 564.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 530.45$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 428.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 421.88$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 51c | 392.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 389.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 48c | 207.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 136.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…234fbacked Over | 50c | 136.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…4656backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 112.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 44c | 110.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 51c | 99.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 55.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 48c | 50.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 49.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Under | 48c | 45.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 45c | 44.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 38.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…7bf2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 49c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Over | 50c | 25.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…f816backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 57c | 21.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.