TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c17,810$9,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,174.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under46c15,165$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,230.3843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.981,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c11,660$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.414,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.677552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c9,494$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.8329351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ac…5befbacked Under43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Over57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9901030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c6,136$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.2944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c5,895$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.0570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c5,722$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.6832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c5,130$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over52c5,123$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.0815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,899$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under48c4,583$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.3324847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c3,963$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.7537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa16d…2fdbbacked Over57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c2,917$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.6738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c2,750$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under43c2,614$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.8926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596b…c1ecbacked Under47c1,934$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over53c1,637$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.4112144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under48c1,371$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.839952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under49c1,353$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c1,058$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.342,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c1,022$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4918749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over54c1,004$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c874.91$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c841.67$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over51c831.71$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.5223845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c773$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c773$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.231,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c691.56$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over54c652.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf488…a534backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c601.7$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.131,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over53c564.19$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.228537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c530.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c428.27$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.821,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c421.88$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over51c392.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under49c389.61$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.583,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over48c207.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7538242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c136.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…234fbacked Over50c136.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f8…4656backed Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c112.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under44c110.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.824428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c99.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4210350.5%52 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d8…7cbabacked Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c55.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.581,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under48c50.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.139760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c49.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Under48c45.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under45c44.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4724150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c38.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb712…7bf2backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c37.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…683dbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over49c25.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Over50c25.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6510653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6254…f816backed Over52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under57c21.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.