TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards52c15,000$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,724.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks49c9,820$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,008.224053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Hawks48c8,924$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.2929650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Hawks48c5,723$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks49c5,391$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.6248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards51c4,816$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.4159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards51c4,621$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.6644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hawks49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards51c3,206$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards51c3,084$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hawks54c2,904$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.9641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards49c2,606$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks49c2,582$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.6370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards49c2,319$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards5c2,056$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Hawks48c1,886$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.9415141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Wizards49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards51c1,543$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks49c1,504$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.3234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards51c1,253$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.031,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hawks53c1,209$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Wizards52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Hawks49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards47c525.71$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Wizards47c458.95$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15352242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards48c286.14$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.351,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Hawks53c274.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0215650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards48c265.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.473,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Wizards48c223.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3624151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks52c217.82$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Hawks49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks53c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10228348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards51c195.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Hawks49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.921937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hawks48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Hawks54c185.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5714557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Wizards51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Wizards50c127.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.911,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hawks53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Wizards48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks51c109.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Wizards53c107.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks48c107$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.641,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards52c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.471,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Hawks50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3815949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Wizards52c69.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.217949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Hawks50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks47c52.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.781,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Hawks50c50.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards36c50.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Hawks53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Hawks49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Hawks53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.175158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards50c46.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Wizards48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Wizards48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Wizards53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Hawks54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0433552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Hawks49c31.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2229652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7be…ef59backed Wizards49c31.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e46…3cf4backed Hawks52c30.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+94.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hawks48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f40…1efbbacked Hawks52c25.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Wizards49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2526043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaae…4d2bbacked Wizards49c24.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Hawks52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.084847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks54c23.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Wizards51c21.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Hawks50c21.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Wizards47c21.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.038651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Hawks48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109165.9%60 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.