NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a1ce5557a14f34586795ca2c9373a30b0bc312e502224a8a306257bbcbed30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,295,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,317,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Avalanche | 53c | 511,432$272,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,026.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Golden Knights | 48c | 210,000$100,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,800 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 152,662$80,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,534.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Golden Knights | 47c | 120,000$56,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,799.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,399.93 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 46c | 65,000$29,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,900 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Golden Knights | 47c | 64,278$30,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,446.87 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Avalanche | 52c | 53,454$27,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,459.03 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Golden Knights | 48c | 49,484$23,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,695.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Golden Knights | 46c | 43,356$19,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,939.12 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Golden Knights | 47c | 39,423$18,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,355.91 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Avalanche | 52c | 35,424$18,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,003.29 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Avalanche | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 31,020$14,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,770.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 27,581$12,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,778.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Golden Knights | 48c | 20,417$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 42c | 19,864$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 47c | 18,165$8,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,479 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…a4e9backed Avalanche | 50c | 18,100$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…82debacked Golden Knights | 50c | 18,100$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Golden Knights | 48c | 16,150$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742.34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Golden Knights | 48c | 15,521$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 51c | 15,062$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.38 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 14,813$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,814.05 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 14,000$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Golden Knights | 46c | 13,897$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 12,918$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.1 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Golden Knights | 8c | 11,881$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 52c | 11,080$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.32 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Golden Knights | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 48c | 9,797$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.39 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 47c | 8,600$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.91 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 46c | 7,952$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.96 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Golden Knights | 47c | 7,867$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.52 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 34c | 7,733$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.19 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 7,123$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.37 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 6,958$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Golden Knights | 48c | 6,500$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…bc2fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 5,771$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights | 30c | 5,759$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.09 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 5,480$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Golden Knights | 47c | 5,282$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.5 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Avalanche | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Golden Knights | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 4,700$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights | 21c | 4,586$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.53 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Golden Knights | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Golden Knights | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…151fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 3,872$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.83 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights | 45c | 3,600$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Golden Knights | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Golden Knights | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Golden Knights | 7c | 3,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 3,260$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.99 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,253$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights | 34c | 3,236$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Golden Knights | 48c | 3,033$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 3,023$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.81 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.01 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Golden Knights | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Golden Knights | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Golden Knights | 48c | 2,858$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,848$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,753$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 2,744$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.53 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,730$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.64 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Golden Knights | 47c | 2,600$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,555$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.31 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Golden Knights | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Golden Knights | 47c | 2,408$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.69 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Golden Knights | 45c | 2,400$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights | 46c | 2,356$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.11 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…ae02backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,229$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Golden Knights | 45c | 2,204$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 2,123$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.19 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…653fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Golden Knights | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,058$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.39 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,011$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Golden Knights | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…0622backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,974$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…2890backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,913$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.31 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,871$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,870$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.