TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c11,979$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe168…563abacked Under53c9,800$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,606757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0e…a35bbacked Over47c9,600$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,51240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb4b…600bbacked Over47c9,200$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ee…7afebacked Under53c8,053$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…7098backed Under53c6,800$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b0…6902backed Over47c5,800$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c4,125$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.3488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d5…0cafbacked Over47c3,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc7…53a3backed Under53c3,250$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Under52c3,000$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.986100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x784f…5caabacked Under53c2,890$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb54…ccf3backed Under53c2,814$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb4…f880backed Under53c2,765$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec9…6287backed Under53c2,721$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+79.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa871…5841backed Over47c2,398$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85eb…53d4backed Over47c2,234$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…384dbacked Under53c2,210$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9673…9482backed Under53c2,188$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f10…854fbacked Over47c2,158$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaeb…21e9backed Over47c2,127$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8240…faa1backed Over47c1,960$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x529a…d21cbacked Under53c1,899$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…19c2backed Over47c1,782$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8479backed Over47c1,707$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f7…76cdbacked Over47c1,657$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc01…8397backed Under53c1,451$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x331d…c284backed Over47c1,369$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5381…f063backed Over47c1,365$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2d…4c45backed Over47c1,356$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4080…e6cebacked Over47c1,326$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20c…e261backed Under53c1,325$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…88efbacked Over47c1,301$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329b…3dcebacked Under53c1,222$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fce…e9afbacked Over47c1,165$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…6793backed Over47c1,145$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Over50c1,139$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bff…26c7backed Under53c1,095$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…bd57backed Over47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a0…5b83backed Over47c1,025$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaff…d7cabacked Under53c1,025$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe678…4c0cbacked Under53c1,024$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc93…f732backed Over47c1,023$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420e…cd2fbacked Under53c1,023$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f6…f970backed Over47c1,023$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2c…3770backed Over47c1,023$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…af2cbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe792…4d26backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfc…365cbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under48c953.7$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.9334845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa80…053ebacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2158…b7efbacked Over47c936$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3d…d45dbacked Under53c935$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450e…d7c1backed Under53c896.23$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a3…ad63backed Under53c755$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under47c745$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Over48c660.52$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa99f…3d8abacked Under53c651$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…5b93backed Over47c591$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under48c580$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…55a4backed Under53c571$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under50c569.42$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.714341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c3…060dbacked Under53c511$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309c…c79dbacked Under53c502$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d9b…c49fbacked Under53c437$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…b1debacked Under53c421$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under49c409.45$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8215839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5048…dbc3backed Under53c378$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a8…58a2backed Under53c377$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x553b…03ffbacked Under53c354$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Under47c341.04$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4837847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14775946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc916…876abacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c3…8769backed Under53c291$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee4…af0abacked Under53c281$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf848…9b7cbacked Under53c251$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under45c225$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.751,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Under49c218.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.379045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9636652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e0…900fbacked Over47c196$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c192.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.582,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…36e8backed Over47c171$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62a…8145backed Over47c166$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under49c165.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.315350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over50c87.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.892634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Over49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2879956.1%448 W · 351 L-2.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9514…4a0ebacked Over47c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7527…0ce5backed Under53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377e…e732backed Under53c49.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ea…acdbbacked Under53c49.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…6317backed Over47c49.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ef…720ebacked Over47c49.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b2…006ebacked Over47c49.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4213…a49ebacked Under53c49.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.