NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb118d112b78e16fb90bc2b9463015509d36bcf8af6281fda47395e5b579b7cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Hawks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,944,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,005,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,944,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 51c | 505,113$257,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,418.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 50c | 497,027$246,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,902.74 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hawks | 49c | 300,000$148,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,999.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Lakers | 42c | 275,017$116,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,009.64 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Lakers | 52c | 257,305$134,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,783.21 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hawks | 48c | 250,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 51c | 178,431$90,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,580.76 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 159,226$82,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,024.37 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 51c | 140,666$72,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,326.65 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 49c | 96,793$47,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,272.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Hawks | 52c | 86,448$44,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,989.98 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hawks | 52c | 86,275$44,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,708.86 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 49c | 84,035$41,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,177.03 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Lakers | 46c | 83,700$38,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,198 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Hawks | 48c | 70,811$33,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,989.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Hawks | 26c | 66,682$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,669.95 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 1c | 63,981$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.81 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 50c | 61,596$30,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,007.66 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 58c | 60,800$35,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,264 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 25c | 58,913$14,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,879.04 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Lakers | 53c | 56,604$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,603.77 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 54c | 56,386$30,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,626.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks | 5c | 50,437$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.84 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 58c | 41,872$24,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,285.69 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 58c | 40,027$23,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,115.81 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers | 53c | 36,767$19,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,280.49 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 68c | 36,626$24,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.47 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Lakers | 45c | 36,499$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,148.42 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 17c | 36,086$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,228.93 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 56c | 35,263$19,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,844.06 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 57c | 32,750$18,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,590 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Hawks | 45c | 32,484$14,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,460.51 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 43c | 30,203$12,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,258.76 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 6c | 30,150$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.45 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 55c | 29,347$16,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100.88 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers | 43c | 29,052$12,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,646.47 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 56c | 27,732$15,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,625.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 55c | 25,135$13,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,755.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Lakers | 43c | 22,854$9,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,026.95 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 76c | 22,090$16,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.23 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Hawks | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hawks | 51c | 20,000$10,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.81 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 54c | 18,493$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,502.16 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Lakers | 44c | 18,283$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,238.59 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Hawks | 41c | 17,647$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,275 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…0c23backed Lakers | 56c | 17,562$9,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks | 54c | 15,283$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.04 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hawks | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lakers | 42c | 14,895$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,602.34 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Hawks | 50c | 14,649$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.54 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 57c | 14,491$8,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 65c | 13,874$9,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Hawks | 58c | 13,793$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Lakers | 58c | 13,683$7,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.02 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…d8d6backed Hawks | 8c | 13,641$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hawks | 50c | 13,616$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,807.91 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Lakers | 40c | 13,438$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,062.73 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lakers | 40c | 12,246$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,324.74 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Hawks | 49c | 12,122$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Hawks | 46c | 12,000$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 55c | 11,500$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Lakers | 61c | 11,295$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.86 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Lakers | 42c | 11,250$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Lakers | 48c | 11,167$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.03 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 49c | 10,933$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Hawks | 57c | 10,765$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,176.48 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 80c | 10,411$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks | 56c | 10,230$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.46 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Hawks | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Hawks | 56c | 9,606$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.82 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Hawks | 7c | 9,462$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.74 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hawks | 49c | 9,330$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.5 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hawks | 2c | 9,302$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Hawks | 57c | 9,300$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hawks | 37c | 9,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Hawks | 45c | 8,986$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks | 58c | 8,548$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 8,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Lakers | 63c | 8,224$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.96 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Hawks | 54c | 8,137$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.73 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Lakers | 42c | 7,792$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.36 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hawks | 56c | 7,743$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.91 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Lakers | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hawks | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.92 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 49c | 7,155$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.3 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Lakers | 55c | 7,049$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Lakers | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Lakers | 67c | 6,959$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.32 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers | 46c | 6,915$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.52 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hawks | 58c | 6,731$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.88 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Hawks | 38c | 6,616$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.18 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…7955backed Hawks | 1c | 6,222$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Lakers | 47c | 6,213$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.44 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 55c | 6,138$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Hawks | 60c | 5,922$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.52 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Lakersthis page
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.