NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d29c1a0eb32a9de9a17fca5a2f5e51c0c4ba50901c673e6efac45c640afef13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Hawks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 49c | 9,763$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 52c | 7,926$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.89 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 5,496$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 55c | 5,069$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 46c | 4,943$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 58c | 4,387$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 47c | 4,090$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Lakers | 49c | 4,083$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.54 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Lakers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Hawks | 54c | 3,889$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 46c | 3,688$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks | 52c | 3,079$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.2 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 49c | 2,400$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…0706backed Hawks | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks | 42c | 1,898$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hawks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,872$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.16 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 1,748$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,486$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hawks | 53c | 1,135$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.42 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Lakers | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Lakers | 62c | 808.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 47c | 740.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.77 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 46c | 701.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Hawks | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 54c | 606.67$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 47c | 590.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 587.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hawks | 37c | 582.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Lakers | 47c | 557$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hawks | 44c | 515$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 49c | 511.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.46 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 11c | 462.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Lakers | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Lakers | 47c | 404.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.03 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Lakers | 47c | 402$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Hawks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hawks | 55c | 365.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Hawks | 42c | 364.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 54c | 333$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Lakers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Hawks | 42c | 307.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Lakers | 48c | 267.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 48c | 265.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Lakers | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Hawks | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hawks | 35c | 237$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks | 5c | 230$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Lakers | 48c | 203.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hawks | 29c | 167.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked Lakers | 61c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Hawks | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Lakers | 61c | 163.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Hawks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hawks | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lakers | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Hawks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 47c | 143.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks | 46c | 139.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Hawks | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hawks | 30c | 114.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Hawks | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…d0abbacked Lakers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Lakers | 46c | 100.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Hawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…bdb3backed Lakers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Hawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lakers | 48c | 80.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 53c | 65.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Lakers | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Hawks | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Hawks | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 60c | 51.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Hawks | 47c | 47.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Lakers | 47c | 46.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Hawks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Hawks | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Lakers | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Lakers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Lakers | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hawks | 47c | 38.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Hawks | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Lakers | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…9975backed Lakers | 47c | 32.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
- Hawks vs. LakersLakers won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.