NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470091f5af0d46eb4010d9ac3a4e72db8a480c813418ff87eb087df1f2e92038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 2,276$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Over | 59c | 1,676$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 1,029$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 918$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 571.77$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.83 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 59c | 542.37$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 55c | 419.06$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Over | 64c | 265.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 36c | 260.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 248.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 12c | 230.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…9533backed Under | 9c | 213.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 34c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…8a7abacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…da08backed Over | 54c | 69.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 31.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5this page
- Hawks vs. LakersLakers won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.