TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c8,308$4,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c8,000$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.751,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c7,285$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c6,040$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over48c4,061$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.7265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c2,594$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,400$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under54c2,229$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.815658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0922152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0921526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0922646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31a…31d0backed Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0922356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1d…1e31backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5442…6fa7backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…8e43backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bff…c39bbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4c…94fdbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,970$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c1,665$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under52c1,432$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,010$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.22,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.91,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c703.31$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c643.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c604.86$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over51c604.86$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3811051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under45c490$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.722138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over54c313.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.332,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under49c251.02$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over49c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6242143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under52c121.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6355533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under54c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6064…b477backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcb…e5b3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5324442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4735444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4763555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over48c99.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.318556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed Under18c90.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.883215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under48c89.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.114454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Under48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf9…ca87backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9050…0a7abacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518354.1%99 W · 84 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c41.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8221756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Over55c40.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1532450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under47c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6418954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under45c37.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8510255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a1…f3dbbacked Under51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6822048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under52c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6427150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Under52c30.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c1…a2d1backed Under49c30.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.625250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.627353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.