TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5696…80d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.83
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47.62
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+86.1%+$9.14
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$16.02
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.42
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+134.4%+$66.18
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+379.2%+$316.09
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.6%+$38.59
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43.8%+$7.89
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+86%+$23.6
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+133.5%+$113.64
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.02
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100.8%+$40.97
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.5%+$7.09
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.58
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+232.3%+$32.31
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.63
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$46.96
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.68
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.58
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90.3%+$12.62
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.06
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+54.4%+$44.38
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$71.54
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+215.1%+$106.96
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.9%+$113.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+65.8%+$6.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.39
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.36
Dallas Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.4%+$3.04
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+94.7%+$9.61
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Dallas Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+67.1%+$10.19
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.56
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+190.6%+$22.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.99
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+76.4%+$36.15
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+203%+$170.18
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+98.9%+$23.2
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$598.12
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$165.35
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$118.32
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.2%+$12.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+120.4%+$18.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.