NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a690ae40e4f74920f0a3a47576b6341ef6ea6fe2a72e0e30b7db43ba8eb302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100,047$52,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,101.99 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 63,033$30,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,885.67 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 61,128$32,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,906.81 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Nuggets | 47c | 57,300$26,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,931 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 28,129$13,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,220.79 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Nuggets | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 20,338$10,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,965.38 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Grizzlies | 51c | 19,786$10,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,602.08 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 16,794$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 47c | 15,059$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,077.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 14,500$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,105 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,702$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.33 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,044$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.69 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 51c | 9,819$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,545$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.15 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 8,681$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 67c | 7,300$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Nuggets | 48c | 7,156$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,029$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.03 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 6,091$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,729$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.37 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,522$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.67 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,974$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,760$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.79 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 3,259$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.91 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,247$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,128$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.43 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,851$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.97 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,089$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.75 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,783$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,682$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,600$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,262$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,248$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,149$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.71 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 52c | 904$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.92 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Nuggets | 47c | 802.47$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.16 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nuggets | 47c | 795.02$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.66 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 739.83$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 42c | 686.35$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 46c | 656.15$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…97b8backed Grizzlies | 68c | 613.38$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 600$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 574.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Nuggets | 47c | 548.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Nuggets | 49c | 526.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Grizzlies | 58c | 518.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 470.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Nuggets | 46c | 458.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Nuggets | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 71c | 333.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Grizzlies | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Grizzlies | 51c | 314.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Nuggets | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nuggets | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets | 47c | 296.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 54c | 274.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 47c | 261.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Grizzlies | 51c | 228.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 47c | 227$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Grizzlies | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 196.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Grizzlies | 43c | 187.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Grizzlies | 56c | 179.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Nuggets | 38c | 179.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…9bc6backed Nuggets | 47c | 175.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nuggets | 25c | 171.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 161.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 31c | 160.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies | 53c | 151.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…2c89backed Nuggets | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Grizzlies | 69c | 139.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Grizzlies | 59c | 138.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Anderson: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kyle Anderson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.