NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554c9d871df785588e0badc74a462eb30d94b25a598557a260f8c343b73384ae

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $191,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $191,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,852 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	48c	55,554$26,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,887.93	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Grizzlies	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,399.98	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets	52c	39,757$20,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,531.23	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies	48c	39,639$19,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,458.11	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets	51c	38,945$19,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,861.89	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	52c	24,568$12,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,773.17	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	47c	9,840$4,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,635.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	52c	6,309$3,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,277.59	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies	53c	5,474$2,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.78	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets	52c	5,288$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.99	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	51c	5,119$2,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies	49c	3,500$1,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.57	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	50c	3,377$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.45	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets	52c	2,981$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies	52c	2,494$1,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.79	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets	52c	2,344$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Nuggets	52c	2,265$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.76	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	50c	1,340$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.16	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies	48c	1,334$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.68	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets	50c	1,002$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.52	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	50c	988.46$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.5	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	52c	939.19$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.1	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies	50c	899.98$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.99	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	45c	898.69$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.48	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	53c	794.36$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets	52c	769.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Nuggets	52c	651.92$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies	56c	527$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.74	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Grizzlies	49c	509.92$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.06	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets	52c	482.69$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies	51c	321.62$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.35	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Nuggets	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Grizzlies	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Nuggets	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nuggets	52c	287.45$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.68	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets	52c	245.38$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Nuggets	52c	240.38$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d5b…16ddbacked Grizzlies	51c	205.01$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a52…4ddabacked Nuggets	50c	205$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Grizzlies	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nuggets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Grizzlies	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Nuggets	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Nuggets	61c	187.77$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	152	45.4%69 W · 83 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Grizzlies	51c	179.98$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.69	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	48c	158.08$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.46	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Grizzlies	51c	150.98$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.98	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Grizzlies	68c	146.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies	49c	142.71$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.13	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nuggets	51c	125$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies	50c	119.62$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.39	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Grizzlies	50c	119.09$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.85	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies	51c	117.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.69	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Grizzlies	49c	117.18$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.76	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Grizzlies	49c	114.95$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.77	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Nuggets	52c	111.89$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Grizzlies	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc121…e0c3backed Grizzlies	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Grizzlies	50c	100.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.41	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Grizzlies	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets	53c	99.94$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.97	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	47c	99.39$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.58	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Grizzlies	49c	99.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.22	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Grizzlies	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	409	60.6%248 W · 161 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nuggets	50c	96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Grizzlies	49c	95.76$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.84	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets	52c	94.63$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.16	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Grizzlies	68c	92.24$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.72	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Grizzlies	49c	92$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Grizzlies	52c	79.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.29	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Grizzlies	55c	73.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.26	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Grizzlies	49c	69.39$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.39	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Grizzlies	48c	65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Nuggets	51c	64.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Grizzlies	60c	62.28$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Grizzlies	54c	61.7$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.26	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Grizzlies	50c	60.51$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.51	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+6.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Grizzlies	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Grizzlies	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+5.2wins	+0.23per pick	42cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Grizzlies	50c	58.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…4183backed Nuggets	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Nuggets	45c	55.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Grizzlies	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Grizzlies	49c	49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Grizzlies	49c	47.67$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…354cbacked Grizzlies	49c	45.47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.19	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Grizzlies	48c	44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Grizzlies	48c	42.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.16	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Grizzlies	49c	40.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.87	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked Grizzlies	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	165	53.9%89 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Grizzlies	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Nuggets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Nuggets	40c	39.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Grizzlies won
GG Jackson II: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Kyle Anderson: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Kyle Anderson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Grizzlies won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event