NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39e84e10a538e4dea9f999409f9b54fff4037b2125d3b7efc44d3eeb9f1ea39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,753,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,835,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,753,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Grizzlies | 16c | 803,428$126,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,451.72 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 16c | 557,526$87,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,688.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 15c | 85,555$12,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,833.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 16c | 50,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Grizzlies | 15c | 33,596$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.39 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 32,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 8c | 22,831$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 9c | 19,839$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 14c | 19,153$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.9 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 3c | 17,387$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.76 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 12c | 15,707$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.01 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 14c | 13,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 0c | 13,264$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 12,074$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.94 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 14c | 11,692$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.92 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Grizzlies | 15c | 10,800$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 15c | 10,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 10,321$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Grizzlies | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 5c | 9,904$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.43 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Grizzlies | 13c | 9,186$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.16 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 9,023$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.49 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 8,533$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.33 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Grizzlies | 18c | 8,428$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.24 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies | 21c | 8,393$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies | 17c | 8,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 7,336$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 6c | 7,292$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.44 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 0c | 7,249$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Grizzlies | 16c | 7,112$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.83 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 7,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Grizzlies | 6c | 7,045$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 7,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 16c | 7,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 7,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Grizzlies | 15c | 6,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Grizzlies | 11c | 6,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.94 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Grizzlies | 8c | 5,762$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies | 1c | 5,726$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Grizzlies | 16c | 5,588$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.22 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 5,005$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.85 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Grizzlies | 12c | 5,000$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 4,915$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Grizzlies | 15c | 4,895$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 4,328$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 4,297$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.1 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…8f4cbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 4,190$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 4,026$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Grizzlies | 17c | 4,000$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.29 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 0c | 3,644$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 15c | 3,441$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…5947backed Grizzlies | 17c | 3,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 2,932$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 2,888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.08 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Grizzlies | 4c | 2,651$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,600$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,407$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,400$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grizzlies | 17c | 2,359$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.03 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Grizzlies | 19c | 2,300$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.68 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 2,250$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,152$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,006$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,917$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…6647backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,768$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Grizzlies | 16c | 1,750$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 15c | 1,733$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,709$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,698$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…2271backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,660$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 1,640$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9398…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,583$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,536$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,512$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Grizzlies | 15c | 1,456$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…ecd6backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,432$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…fdb5backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 224 | 23.7%53 W · 171 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,386$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,380$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,373$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,288$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,250$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,231$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…1053backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,200$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Grizzlies | 17c | 1,184$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…1802backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,129$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,117$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Anderson: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kyle Anderson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.