TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0f1…6aa4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$11.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.3
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$5.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$30.15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40%+$15.27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$14.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$12.51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$5.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$26.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$46.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$40.29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$149.12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$44.68
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$19.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.03
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.64
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+547.8%+$646.42
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$171.39
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$425
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$1,618.18
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+300%+$480
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+354.5%+$567.27
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+150%+$129
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.95
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.93
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.