Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Weber State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9211ab9d6e2d7f176cbc02e706782fa510c33c21e1eec3d5a0d1274722f0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weber State Wildcatsof Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 671.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 72c | 275.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 193.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 179.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 74c | 92.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 26c | 89.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Weber State Wildcats | 78c | 82.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 28c | 78.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Weber State Wildcats | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 72c | 62.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 72c | 48.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Weber State Wildcats | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Weber State Wildcats | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Weber State Wildcatsthis page
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Weber State Wildcats: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-5.5)Weber State Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.