Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ccbed4d61b4a20396d67e096d5ddecf84eb1c7e335f40c43f0dabf649388d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 862.6$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 56c | 625.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 382.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 358.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 340.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…2555backed No | 4c | 296.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 73c | 233.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 47c | 228.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 12c | 197.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 75c | 196.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 76c | 191.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 79c | 184.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 62c | 184.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 172.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 26c | 168.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 164.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 43c | 154.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 20c | 151.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…f896backed Yes | 39c | 142.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 36c | 139.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 14c | 137.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 64c | 122.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 117.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 111.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…7e96backed Yes | 63c | 110.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 44c | 98.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed No | 75c | 97.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 42c | 87.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Yes | 26c | 87.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 78c | 86.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 86.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 79c | 85.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 20c | 81.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 63c | 79.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 78.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 40c | 77.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 63c | 68.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 33c | 67.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 74c | 67.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 67c | 65.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked Yes | 38c | 63.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…7936backed Yes | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 107 | 84.1%90 W · 17 L | +30.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 55.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 50c | 53.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…8e49backed Yes | 37c | 53.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 36c | 52.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 50.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 50.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Yes | 38c | 48.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 38c | 48.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 47.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 68c | 47.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed No | 72c | 47.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 63c | 45.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 69c | 43.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 42c | 41.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 35c | 39.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 39c | 38.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 49c | 38.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 32c | 38.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 39c | 35.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 59c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbb…9d0dbacked Yes | 36c | 33.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…527ebacked No | 36c | 30.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 62c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 60c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 35c | 28.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 38c | 28.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 27.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…734ebacked No | 65c | 27.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 61c | 26.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…d1f3backed Yes | 59c | 26.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 24.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 61c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 61c | 21.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 64c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…7bc6backed No | 68c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 67c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 72c | 19.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d5…55f7backed Yes | 68c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…546dbacked Yes | 71c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…431fbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 68c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 16.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.