Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265086bd98498db9e37df90bfd93d40989613e91c5ae4a5aa9c58957b32fcadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 37c | 574.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 28c | 536.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 67c | 430.75$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 410.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 23c | 388.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 59c | 387.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 369.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 355.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 35c | 235.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 229.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 56c | 226.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 28c | 219.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 78c | 214.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 6c | 179.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 67c | 175.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 29c | 170.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 41c | 156.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 38c | 148.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 57c | 139.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 45c | 131.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 19c | 126.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 33c | 121.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…031dbacked No | 80c | 111.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 111.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 23c | 109.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 104.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 102.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…6421backed Yes | 26c | 99.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 49c | 97.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…c072backed No | 45c | 97.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 24c | 94.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 52c | 91.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 61c | 89.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 87.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 27c | 83.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 42c | 75.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 25c | 68.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 38c | 68.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…f896backed Yes | 43c | 66.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 49c | 65.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 68c | 64.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 28c | 60.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…148cbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 41c | 54.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…8e18backed No | 50c | 53.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda8…e905backed No | 44c | 53.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…833fbacked Yes | 41c | 51.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 30c | 50.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 26c | 49.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 45c | 48.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 47.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 30c | 46.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 44.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 44c | 43.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 69c | 42.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 56c | 41.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Yes | 46c | 40.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…7eabbacked No | 72c | 40.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…af02backed Yes | 54c | 39.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 76c | 39.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 28c | 39.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed No | 77c | 38.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 77c | 36.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 72c | 34.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…931bbacked Yes | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 47c | 34.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 47c | 34.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 51c | 33.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…cde1backed No | 59c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed No | 48c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 45c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed No | 52c | 31.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 63c | 31.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 45c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 35c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed Yes | 47c | 30.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 39c | 29.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 58c | 28.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…b712backed No | 67c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 66c | 26.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed No | 53c | 26.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 53c | 26.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…0dcdbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…b344backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 49c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 58c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 44c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…ad0dbacked No | 45c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.