TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb34d…e1bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT8164.2%52 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.31
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$11.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$19.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$10.84
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$18.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26%+$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$20.62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$23.37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$13.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$10.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$15.58
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$10.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$9.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$12.4
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.94
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$71.54
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$62.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$55.94
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$31
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56
Granada CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.