Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53eb95508ec8004fe5d337adb841a89c047efbcc36263aaf8753c25a0f2a2263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 56c | 8,930$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.17 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 54c | 4,201$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 4,130$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,176$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 2,254$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.63 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,059$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Over | 39c | 827.87$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 10c | 620$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 56c | 594.93$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 533.05$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 35c | 485.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 332.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Over | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 46c | 209.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 208$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 184.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 160.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 34c | 139.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 135.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 47c | 126.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 108.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 95.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 69c | 94.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 56c | 89.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 68.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 47c | 52.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 52c | 45.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 30c | 43.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 37.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 69c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed Over | 53c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…f151backed Over | 70c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 44c | 25.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 69c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.