Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a2d379c13cb68276a2ff4929584e5a2fdc45a1333cdbb4ca39ef519986219b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 18c | 8,100$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under | 58c | 2,004$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,441$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 949.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 58c | 607.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 559.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 511.45$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 80c | 427.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 415.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 18c | 399.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0afabacked Under | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 58c | 373.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 43c | 355.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 57c | 302.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 80c | 246.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 191.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 58c | 185.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 176.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Over | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 16c | 106.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 35c | 96.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 69.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 59c | 56.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 41.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 43c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 29.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 28.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 70c | 26.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 23.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…5da6backed Under | 59c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.