Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb7cd351e7b0521e82903f63ec1ba7182380b6b735235f5e30f197b652fe633
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 7,082$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 30c | 5,358$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.92 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,644$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 48c | 1,375$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 50c | 343.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 243.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 48c | 194.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 29c | 165.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 58c | 101.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 98.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 70.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 50c | 62.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 57.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 71c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f62…634ebacked Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 74c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 71c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.