TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccfa…6ee7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.46
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.09
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.7
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.75
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.05
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$100.53
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$313.33
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$145.15
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$21.71
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.07
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$59.82
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.9
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.27
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,159.5%+$377.64
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$87.6
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$67.98
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.45
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$49.23
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.98
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$65.25
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.05
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$54.38
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.53
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.93
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$66.24
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.61
US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.77
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$61.54
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$64.31
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.26
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.88
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$181.15
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.74
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.78
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.97
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$63.39
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.91
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.31
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.42
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$81.41
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100.76
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed OGC Nice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$58.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.6
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)backed SV Werder Bremen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$33.99
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$71.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.