La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2780b824680aa33d9e5c79befb9bee521231db390287eabb84dec58888a9db47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Oviedoof Villarreal CF, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Oviedo | 69c | 2,780$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 1,543$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.32 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 75c | 1,539$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Villarreal CF | 21c | 999.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Villarreal CF | 33c | 653.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 547.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Real Oviedo | 79c | 462.19$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Villarreal CF | 23c | 422.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Oviedo | 73c | 348.65$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Villarreal CF | 35c | 343.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Villarreal CF | 21c | 249.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 244.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 178.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Real Oviedo | 80c | 168.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Real Oviedo | 79c | 153.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 125.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Villarreal CF | 23c | 118.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Villarreal CF | 29c | 106.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Villarreal CF | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Oviedo | 80c | 93.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Real Oviedo | 77c | 91.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Villarreal CF | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Real Oviedo | 70c | 89.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Villarreal CF | 31c | 87.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Oviedo | 79c | 85.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Real Oviedo | 76c | 83.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 77.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb03…791fbacked Villarreal CF | 35c | 71.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 68.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 61.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Villarreal CF | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 60.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Real Oviedo | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Villarreal CF | 31c | 46.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Real Oviedo | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 40.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Real Oviedo | 79c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Oviedo | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Real Oviedo | 76c | 20.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Real Oviedo | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Real Oviedo | 71c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Real Oviedo | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Real Oviedo | 67c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Real Oviedo | 78c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.