TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c19,031$12,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,973.244,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under51c8,880$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,351.157656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over44c6,522$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.12524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c5,756$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.113,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over33c5,028$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.972040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c4,348$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.5999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1520054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over49c3,792$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.18887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+91.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xade6…63cbbacked Under57c3,052$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c2,567$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.5192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c2,337$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over46c2,091$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.776437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.982962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c1,700$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.9718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under53c1,674$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.465339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c1,640$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.1783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over52c1,628$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.4922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45510820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under53c1,469$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c1,389$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.8783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Over50c1,364$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.911250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under51c1,295$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.446546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over38c1,262$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.4411159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over50c1,207$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.439833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over42c1,197$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.882814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,109$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.621,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over44c1,101$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.886848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c995.67$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over48c936.51$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.523237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over35c912.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.534235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over45c888.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over49c826.96$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Over63c780.5$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddbb…b190backed Under56c776.86$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under77c774.38$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2875341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Over49c696.69$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.232142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.945166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under52c621.94$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5315446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c571.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.256642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under52c561.43$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.491275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under71c533.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.526100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+102.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over43c504.09$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.418041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under51c494.96$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5311741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c490.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c488.76$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.721,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e1…62fcbacked Over49c485.34$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over48c475.31$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over62c473.04$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c471.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9215451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Under49c467.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over21c457.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2617731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5214549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over33c400.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.921741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under51c399.94$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under37c384.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.473834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under53c369.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.561643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under66c354.21$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9624344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over33c350.47$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.641827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over40c299.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.649629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over49c294$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.046852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over49c292.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over36c286.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.892821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over63c272.42$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6211140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over51c266.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c261.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under52c257.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over49c241.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.272948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under63c237.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.792676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over43c235.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.353145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c228$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a54…4aaebacked Over21c226.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c222.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under65c217.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0722446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over44c214.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.594344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Under61c208.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.225742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over46c206.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under77c205.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7419260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c202.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c202.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over48c200.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.277750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under63c195.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.652231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over35c183.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over49c174.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.311816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c164.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8720142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c163.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c163.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.351,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under67c160.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.695050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.