La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bdd2ad563e5234c70b59694bb153659e9f8d262b5cc97bb9e661a9f65ad6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 5,632$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 17c | 2,929$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Under | 65c | 2,258$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 61c | 2,090$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 39c | 2,013$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.11 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 30c | 1,741$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.33 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 1,554$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 74c | 1,486$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 1,014$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.69 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 27c | 991.61$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 929.91$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.74 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 884.76$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 869.3$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 806.94$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Under | 77c | 475.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 402.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 24c | 299.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 74c | 286$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 37c | 260.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 25c | 259.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 248.26$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 17c | 233.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 9c | 207.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 198.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 10c | 190.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 26c | 174.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 172.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 169.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 70c | 162.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 154.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…f50bbacked Under | 70c | 140.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Under | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 74c | 131.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 130.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 127.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 73c | 126.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 31c | 121.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 116.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 74c | 116.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 26c | 114.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 73c | 109.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 19c | 109.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 106.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…a9afbacked Over | 14c | 95.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…7d12backed Under | 74c | 93.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…057abacked Over | 27c | 89.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 69c | 89.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Over | 14c | 81.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…1e03backed Under | 68c | 80.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 79.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Over | 27c | 66.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 62.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 30c | 49.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 47.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 46.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 35c | 42.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…8d6ebacked Over | 33c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 78c | 24.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 76c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…2f10backed Under | 74c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 75c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 77c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.