TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x897c…cb6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$345.61
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$507.69
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$401.84
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$602
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$639.14
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$136.47
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.08
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$571.83
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$739.32
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$795.21
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.14
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$539.11
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$884.86
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$807.17
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$1,462.72
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,098.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.24
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.59
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.75
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.78
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$1,375.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$861.78
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,331.83
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,012.2%+$1,913.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$1,035.38
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$406.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$626.13
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$511.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$529.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$1,098.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.