TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Under55c30,417$16,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c24,165$11,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,828.093,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over43c13,501$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,639.695639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c9,370$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.0112832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under35c6,989$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under58c5,203$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c5,106$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.421,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c4,889$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.471,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over79c4,835$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over42c4,762$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.75448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.943040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over42c3,745$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.955653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over42c3,543$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under51c3,106$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over44c3,000$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6952161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over44c2,895$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.2411226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under21c2,513$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.641118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Over47c2,487$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under56c2,290$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.711246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over44c2,236$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c2,126$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.4123461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c1,972$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.157149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c1,761$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over43c1,562$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.536030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c1,544$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over49c1,415$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.744259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over75c1,300$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3282850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c1,245$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5392050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under36c1,214$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over44c1,168$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.342540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under58c1,153$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c1,149$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.942,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under57c1,076$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.2896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over44c1,057$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.688947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.412634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over49c747$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7915562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over49c719.07$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over72c671.14$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under11c665.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.663125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c660.2$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5263957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c599.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under52c545$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c522.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Over49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over44c508.54$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.78825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over43c479.07$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over44c470$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.27143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c436.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.646844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c434.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.844151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over46c427.09$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.631861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c416.62$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.812152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over67c416.24$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.828747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff2…9c21backed Over48c409.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over47c399.9$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.952540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c399.4$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0138047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over49c397.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.968100%8 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c389.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8216543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under56c379$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.876136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c364.87$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.012,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over48c361.8$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1417855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under57c354.57$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over48c341.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8917958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c340.8$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.485534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over46c320$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.43737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under22c315.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.067656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c311.07$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.388254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under12c259.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4579732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over43c255.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.817054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c254.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5266250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over45c245.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.355850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over49c240.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked Over79c228.42$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c227.69$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9270639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.071,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Over47c213.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over48c206.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over46c203.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.782231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Over47c203.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c202.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe77…8166backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Over45c177.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under58c172.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.998853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Under58c172.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under36c170.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.468550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under57c169$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.333582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9317647.7%84 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.