Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaf2aa69ae5f08c668b6389b0fe93cfd68a78da47f89be6a29686162f58063e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof SC Freiburg, SC Braga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked SC Freiburg | 30c | 7,444$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed SC Braga | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 6,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed SC Braga | 71c | 6,163$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Freiburg | 54c | 4,358$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.96 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked SC Braga | 43c | 4,062$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Freiburg | 66c | 2,769$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.75 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked SC Freiburg | 29c | 1,975$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.06 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Braga | 36c | 1,856$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Freiburg | 29c | 1,333$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed SC Freiburg | 62c | 986.19$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SC Braga | 33c | 884.6$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked SC Freiburg | 60c | 843.02$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SC Freiburg | 29c | 709.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.47 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed SC Braga | 70c | 461.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 452.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed SC Freiburg | 57c | 439.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked SC Freiburg | 30c | 406.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed SC Freiburg | 57c | 390.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…509bbacked SC Braga | 70c | 382.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SC Braga | 41c | 369.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SC Braga | 28c | 300.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed SC Braga | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed SC Braga | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SC Braga | 30c | 297.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SC Braga | 31c | 277.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SC Braga | 25c | 263.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked SC Braga | 12c | 252.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked SC Freiburg | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SC Freiburg | 68c | 230.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed SC Braga | 8c | 203.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 199.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed SC Braga | 14c | 188.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked SC Freiburg | 29c | 176.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed SC Freiburg | 61c | 173.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed SC Freiburg | 72c | 168.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 167.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 167$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SC Braga | 36c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed SC Braga | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked SC Braga | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed SC Braga | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked SC Freiburg | 71c | 140.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked SC Freiburg | 75c | 133.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked SC Braga | 39c | 124.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 109.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 103$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Freiburg | 29c | 103$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 100.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked SC Freiburg | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed SC Freiburg | 74c | 99.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SC Braga | 72c | 99.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 91.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed SC Freiburg | 29c | 90.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed SC Freiburg | 72c | 88.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SC Freiburg | 29c | 88.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed SC Braga | 37c | 80.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked SC Freiburg | 77c | 71.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked SC Braga | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed SC Freiburg | 76c | 65.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed SC Freiburg | 79c | 62.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SC Braga | 36c | 57.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked SC Braga | 20c | 56.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed SC Freiburg | 76c | 48.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SC Freiburg | 52c | 42.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed SC Braga | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed SC Braga | 30c | 41.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 35.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed SC Freiburg | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…eda4backed SC Braga | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed SC Freiburg | 60c | 26.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed SC Freiburg | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed SC Braga | 71c | 23.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked SC Braga | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.