TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf76f…d928

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-10.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$18.86
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.19
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36.88
Spread: Rams (-12.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+70.3%+$7.88
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$51.47
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.4
Packers vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.03
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$21.25
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$12.98
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$11.35
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.41
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.45
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.38
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+110.8%+$20.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34.38
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.2%+$22.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+50%+$7.42
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.01
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+70.2%+$12.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.21
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.87
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.9
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.1%+$43.85
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$9.64
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$8.7
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$18.41
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.37
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$5.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.47
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.79
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.38
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs fnatic (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$24.28
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$6.91
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.94
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$30.29
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.3
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.36
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$137.51
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.02
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52.36
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$14.3
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$22.1
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.23
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$11.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+50%+$26.15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38.32
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.51
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$9.69
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.