TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,209,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,227,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,209,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,073 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No28c217,380$59,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,516.712,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes73c120,000$87,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,881.467060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No24c61,250$14,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,524.738241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes76c60,000$45,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,600825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No27c60,000$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,899.7910643.4%46 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes74c55,985$41,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,239.079146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes74c45,262$33,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,271.433545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No27c45,086$12,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,862.7339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No26c45,056$11,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,138.519857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No26c33,850$8,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,980.354346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c33,637$8,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,012.3415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked No26c31,121$8,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,029.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No26c28,455$7,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,948.578231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes76c26,316$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes74c22,921$17,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,007.282045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c22,846$6,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,285.941,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c20,225$8,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,033.658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2008040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes58c20,000$11,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.951526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No39c18,763$7,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,423.314949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…b793backed Yes46c18,302$8,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,341.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No25c14,555$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.4919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No25c13,644$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,279.447346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c13,509$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,861.410040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No31c12,800$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,854.7420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No25c11,443$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,582.224323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No37c11,397$4,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.837052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No26c11,000$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,183.957943%34 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes73c10,959$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No26c10,502$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,771.622259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No26c9,999$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.62729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No62c9,551$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.267346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes38c8,644$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.973339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Yes53c8,628$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes74c8,445$6,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes72c8,315$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.916136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c8,110$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.8114952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c0…35e6backed Yes74c8,108$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes62c8,037$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes74c7,985$5,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.912848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked No32c7,740$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes31c7,525$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.061533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No27c7,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No25c7,300$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4751030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No33c7,298$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.7810051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes48c7,106$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c6,768$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.368836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes74c6,757$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes74c6,736$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.812040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes73c6,628$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.231258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes74c6,500$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,81014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes76c6,487$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.2738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0110…0703backed Yes74c6,460$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No28c6,132$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes75c6,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes71c5,528$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.231650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes73c5,313$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.674143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No26c5,312$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,931.11850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Yes38c5,200$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No42c5,091$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.0910850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes73c5,038$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.262445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8009348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No14c5,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.953619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes77c5,000$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,825.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No50c4,923$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.0838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No63c4,804$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.548259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc29a…21e7backed Yes75c4,085$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes74c4,054$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.11637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+98.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No26c4,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9923247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.8619453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No26c3,999$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.449341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes75c3,916$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.678543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes74c3,889$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.0830657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b0…f99dbacked Yes69c3,805$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes74c3,710$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.1420343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No26c3,611$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.371070%7 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick35cpaid+123.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes74c3,600$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.9818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No31c3,439$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.6312737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No26c3,141$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No27c3,140$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.391421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes73c3,128$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.151163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1904944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef2…b16abacked Yes75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes74c2,834$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.26653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes75c2,791$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes73c2,738$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828f…3edebacked Yes59c2,715$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+106%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89f…1d11backed No26c2,645$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+172.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9509…33a4backed Yes76c2,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes67c2,525$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes75c2,445$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.084555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes74c2,445$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yes74c2,292$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes42c2,260$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.1720462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes43c2,175$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc93…8afbbacked Yes51c2,160$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes38c2,134$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.