TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7e4…f06f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$9,680
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$147.88
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$8,500
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$8,757.69
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10,060.48
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$8,249.93
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,380.23
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,617Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$3,483
Blackhawks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$6,960
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,135.6
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,436
Blues vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$3,120
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.8%+$2,357.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+94.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,462Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$10,737.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$8,288.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,454Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+314.8%+$14,020.81
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,940.96
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+200.9%+$10,614.96
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$6,245.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,722Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$6,847.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,815Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$7,684.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$5,040
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,809.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+257.1%+$10,799.98
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$9,176.98
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$8,002.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,810
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$5,475
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,654
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$710.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,216.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,155.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,143.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$5,871
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3,606.53
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$5,489.99
Pelicans vs. Nuggetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.22
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$3,827.2
All 6 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+257.1%+$4,607.98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$4,390.44
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,249.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$5,879.99
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$4,533.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,592Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$3,608
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+426.3%+$7,931.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+381%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+381%+$750.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$295.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,074.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.