NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b4563e5ec9e19ff45b70afe4c26b8b6231b8190aa799dd4cab7776b4ef68638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pelicans, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $664,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Pelicans | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Pelicans | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans | 15c | 22,977$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.59 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans | 14c | 22,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…2698backed Pelicans | 0c | 19,997$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Pelicans | 16c | 19,257$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Pelicans | 14c | 18,546$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans | 14c | 17,652$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.22 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 4c | 15,296$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.52 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pelicans | 1c | 15,021$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pelicans | 9c | 13,646$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.79 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Pelicans | 15c | 12,316$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.41 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pelicans | 15c | 11,919$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.86 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans | 15c | 11,555$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.19 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 10,289$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Pelicans | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pelicans | 15c | 7,906$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.88 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Pelicans | 4c | 7,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Pelicans | 12c | 7,000$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pelicans | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pelicans | 14c | 6,559$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.93 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 5,966$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 14c | 5,595$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 4c | 5,582$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans | 13c | 5,400$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans | 11c | 5,109$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Pelicans | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 15c | 3,050$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Pelicans | 11c | 3,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Pelicans | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 3c | 2,556$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Pelicans | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Pelicans | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Pelicans | 15c | 1,958$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,866$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…acd6backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pelicans | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…4702backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,171$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,026$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3571backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans | 14c | 999.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Pelicans | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…b3debacked Pelicans | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pelicans | 14c | 559.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pelicans | 30c | 559.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 14c | 553.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 15c | 510$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pelicans | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Pelicans | 14c | 476.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…c075backed Pelicans | 15c | 430$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans | 7c | 418.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf073…72fdbacked Pelicans | 3c | 411.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pelicans | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Pelicans | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…70f0backed Pelicans | 11c | 375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Pelicans | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 330.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Pelicans | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Pelicans | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Pelicans | 15c | 280.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans | 17c | 275.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 16c | 268.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 8c | 250.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Pelicans | 14c | 249.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…6102backed Pelicans | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…4464backed Nuggets | 72c | 230.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Pelicans | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pelicans | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…0d1bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 199.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Pelicans | 14c | 199.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Pelicans | 30c | 193.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pelicans | 17c | 148.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…2227backed Pelicans | 15c | 143.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…56cabacked Pelicans | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0f56backed Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Pelicans | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ba…a251backed Pelicans | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…aa30backed Pelicans | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…6bbcbacked Pelicans | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans | 13c | 102.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809e…43c4backed Pelicans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pelicans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.