NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f49345957a4092af17deeeb6e7678bdf09b67ca3d07e3067cafd875e1aa3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 51c | 24,923$12,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,653.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Nuggets | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 15,570$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,785 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 8,584$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,388$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.85 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,287$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.22 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,881$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,781$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,158$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.58 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…6a9fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,721$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,702$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,554$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.53 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…9f6bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…cddfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,970$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,632$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…e974backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,230$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…70cdbacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,060$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,751$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.93 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…2876backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,711$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…bdf6backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…d549backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,627$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…51c5backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,567$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,563$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.41 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.84 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…f99ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,216$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…42f8backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,156$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…0932backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,048$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…a436backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…38e7backed Nuggets | 52c | 966$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…8993backed Pelicans | 48c | 956$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…f711backed Pelicans | 48c | 955$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…647abacked Pelicans | 48c | 921$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 900$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…3a70backed Nuggets | 52c | 896$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…a95dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 855$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…cbe5backed Nuggets | 52c | 846$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 50c | 792.75$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa997…3552backed Pelicans | 48c | 786$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…c274backed Nuggets | 52c | 759$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…44e0backed Pelicans | 48c | 756$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…8015backed Nuggets | 52c | 745$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…716cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 736$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…5fdcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 699$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…0606backed Nuggets | 51c | 681$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Pelicans | 50c | 679.4$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…8265backed Nuggets | 51c | 652$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…8cf2backed Pelicans | 48c | 623$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…2bdfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 611$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…5f70backed Pelicans | 48c | 599$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…0327backed Nuggets | 51c | 561$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…2cadbacked Nuggets | 51c | 527$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…8041backed Nuggets | 52c | 489$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…32aebacked Pelicans | 48c | 482$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 52c | 447$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…f1cebacked Nuggets | 51c | 398$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ec0ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 397$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…e13dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 396$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…195abacked Nuggets | 51c | 395$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…31c0backed Pelicans | 49c | 374$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…e420backed Nuggets | 51c | 374$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c59ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 373$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…69ffbacked Pelicans | 49c | 373$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 368.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Nuggets | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…14f0backed Nuggets | 52c | 322$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…9b35backed Nuggets | 51c | 312$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 49c | 301.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4e79backed Nuggets | 51c | 289$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 240 | 55.4%133 W · 107 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Nuggets | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans | 43c | 245.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 207$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nuggets | 52c | 199.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans | 54c | 154.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pelicans | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 47c | 147.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Nuggets | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Pelicans | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Nuggets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pelicans | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…1c3cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.