TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x022b…b28c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
300
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT16730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$73.7
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$185.92
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$434
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$293.39
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$93.33
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.97
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.68
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.44
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.12
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+106.5%+$24.76
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$590.87
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.74
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$432
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.56
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST7843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$39.07
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.54
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$88.23
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+150%+$63.6
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+116.7%+$98.02
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.15
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.2%+$194.26
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.08
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.55
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.56
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.58
Maple Leafs vs. Jetsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.58
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.81
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.78
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$71.76
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.43
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$189
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Minnesota vs. Oregonbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Troy vs. Old Dominionbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$441
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michiganbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Notre Dame vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Oklahoma State vs. Kansasbacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.35
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Techbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$549.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$97.28
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+316.7%+$2,736
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Jets vs. Ravensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$341.98
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$645
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$207.35
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$810
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$1,879.2
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$406.6
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+135.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+135.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+231.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+562.7%+$2,192.38
Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$112.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,376
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$2,960
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$395.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.