NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09293493eebe2dba65aee40b96a37af9e0e925791dc0356b324e8015bf0d6196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,425,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,481,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,425,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 19c | 1,545,027$299,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246,021.74 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 20c | 225,165$44,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,059.83 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Lions | 80c | 202,400$161,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,920 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Vikings | 20c | 135,499$27,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,030.21 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lions | 80c | 100,000$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Vikings | 20c | 92,044$18,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,655.13 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Lions | 35c | 61,434$21,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,224.72 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 25c | 45,220$11,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,084.44 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lions | 19c | 42,210$8,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.57 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 19c | 41,981$7,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,004.84 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings | 18c | 39,500$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,192.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vikings | 58c | 39,085$22,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,379.43 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lions | 80c | 35,468$28,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,374.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vikings | 19c | 27,900$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,599 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 41c | 23,640$9,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,995.46 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Vikings | 34c | 23,002$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,221.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lions | 63c | 19,450$12,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,253.75 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lions | 9c | 19,371$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.07 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Lions | 54c | 19,311$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,432.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Vikings | 19c | 16,387$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,197.78 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Vikings | 18c | 16,164$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,254.54 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Vikings | 19c | 16,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,960 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions | 11c | 15,900$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.14 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lions | 56c | 15,433$8,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,653.45 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lions | 44c | 14,237$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.28 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Vikings | 20c | 12,578$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.18 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Lions | 75c | 12,500$9,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.83 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lions | 60c | 11,727$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.61 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Vikings | 19c | 11,703$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,496.17 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Lions | 7c | 11,290$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions | 80c | 11,111$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Vikings | 20c | 10,849$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.67 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Vikings | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Vikings | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed Lions | 79c | 10,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Vikings | 19c | 9,801$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,938.51 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vikings | 36c | 9,153$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.37 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…8bf1backed Lions | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lions | 46c | 8,199$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.49 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Lions | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed Lions | 80c | 7,775$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Vikings | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 80c | 6,497$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.95 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Lions | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Vikings | 19c | 5,468$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Vikings | 29c | 5,360$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.79 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Lions | 66c | 5,317$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…3d5cbacked Vikings | 20c | 5,150$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +278.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lions | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Lions | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lions | 50c | 4,364$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.32 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Vikings | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Vikings | 20c | 4,040$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Vikings | 19c | 4,023$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Vikings | 19c | 3,595$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Vikings | 23c | 3,452$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.38 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Vikings | 20c | 3,307$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.78 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lions | 34c | 3,171$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.8 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lions | 80c | 3,129$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.2 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 43c | 3,091$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.78 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 59c | 3,001$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.63 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…49fbbacked Vikings | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +278.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Lions | 78c | 2,939$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Lions | 67c | 2,865$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lions | 2c | 2,831$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lions | 80c | 2,725$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.89 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…7919backed Vikings | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +278.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Vikings | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…4702backed Vikings | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…f73ebacked Vikings | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +278.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Vikings | 19c | 2,412$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.1 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lions | 1c | 2,335$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Vikings | 20c | 2,285$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Vikings | 20c | 2,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lions | 56c | 2,195$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.28 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Vikings | 44c | 2,118$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Lions | 71c | 2,111$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 72c | 2,070$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Vikings | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Vikings | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Vikings | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Vikings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Lions | 12c | 1,966$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.01 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Lions | 45c | 1,891$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Vikings | 26c | 1,794$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Vikings | 19c | 1,789$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Vikings | 80c | 1,706$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Lions | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Vikings | 19c | 1,674$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Vikings | 20c | 1,650$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.66 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lions | 1c | 1,599$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lions | 68c | 1,573$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…370dbacked Lions | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Vikings | 40c | 1,500$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.6 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 37c | 1,456$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.11 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Lions | 72c | 1,452$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Vikings | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Vikings | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…e1e0backed Vikings | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Lionsthis page
- Lions Team Total: O/U 31.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Lions (-9.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 47.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.