NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078ba221cd8425f3a7731a37635b7bb4472c3312591b7f4c0841f7f0e98b434c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Lions, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lions | 51c | 96,716$49,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,798.36 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vikings | 48c | 50,352$24,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,302.46 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Vikings | 50c | 40,353$20,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,176.5 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lions | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lions | 51c | 37,027$18,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,883.57 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Vikings | 48c | 32,000$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,639.91 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Vikings | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Vikings | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 51c | 24,346$12,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,526.28 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Vikings | 50c | 21,521$10,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,860.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lions | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Lions | 52c | 19,236$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,002.51 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vikings | 47c | 19,187$9,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,073.8 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Vikings | 49c | 17,551$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.29 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Lions | 53c | 14,968$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 50c | 14,931$7,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.54 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 49c | 11,390$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.88 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Vikings | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Vikings | 48c | 8,764$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.39 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Lions | 51c | 7,839$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Vikings | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vikings | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings | 48c | 4,095$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.59 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lions | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 48c | 3,763$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.27 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lions | 51c | 3,606$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.38 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lions | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 51c | 2,989$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.17 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vikings | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lions | 51c | 2,903$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.53 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lions | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions | 49c | 2,188$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.49 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings | 49c | 2,012$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.19 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Lions | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Lions | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Lions | 52c | 1,927$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Lions | 50c | 1,370$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Lions | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lions | 49c | 1,207$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.47 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lions | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.92 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Vikings | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.99 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…1824backed Vikings | 51c | 1,041$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Lions | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Vikings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Lions | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Vikings | 50c | 903.73$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.87 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Vikings | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 47c | 723.64$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.53 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Lions | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Vikings | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Lions | 54c | 485.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Lions | 51c | 480.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…06d4backed Lions | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Vikings | 49c | 440.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Lions | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Lions | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Lions | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…c97fbacked Lions | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vikings | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vikings | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Lions | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Lions | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Lions | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1904backed Lions | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Lions | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Vikings | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Lions | 52c | 273.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Vikings | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lions | 50c | 254.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Lions | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Lions | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lions | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Lions | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Lions | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Lions | 53c | 226$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Vikings | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Lions | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Lions | 49c | 212.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Lions | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Vikings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…a85ebacked Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Vikings | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Lions | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…5903backed Lions | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Lions | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Vikings | 49c | 175$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Lions | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Lions | 51c | 160.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…f275backed Lions | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Vikings | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Vikings | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lions | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Lions | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lions | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Lions | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)this page
- Lions Team Total: O/U 31.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-9.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. LionsVikings won
- Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 47.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.