TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1321…2286

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Earnings at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST4546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Memphis (-4.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Spread: Houston (-1.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$79.5
Tulane vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$79.5
O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Spread: Appalachian State (-5.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Spread: South Florida (-13.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.49
UTSA Roadrunners vs. South Florida: O/U 67.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)backed Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$69
O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$81
Spread: Utah (-8.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.92
O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Spread: Miami (-12.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Indiana (-22.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Old Dominion vs. UL Monroe: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$78
Spread: Liberty (-3.5)backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$70.4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST4339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Hawks vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$52.99
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$53.99
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Grizzlies vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Suns vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48.98
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47.99
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47.99
Pacers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Trail Blazers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$79.5
Saints vs. Rams: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Spread: Bears (-2.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.63
Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.7
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$79.5
Spread: Packers (-13.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.24
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Chargers vs. Titans: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Falcons vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$60
Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$85.5
Utah vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Blackhawks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Canadiens vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.36
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.62
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$96
Capitals vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
Red Wings vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Devils vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.88
Lightning vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$60
Jets vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$74.75
Senators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Islanders vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$76.49
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$84
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.99
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.73
Flames vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will JetBlue Airways (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: CA Independiente (-0.5)backed CA Independiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$69.99
Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)backed CS Independiente Rivadavia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$775
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,094.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,739.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$157.5
Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$206.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,941.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.