TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mentality Monsterof InterActive Philippines, Mentality Monster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed InterActive Philippines1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Mentality Monster59c3,884$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.6154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed InterActive Philippines44c2,271$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Mentality Monster73c1,738$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.230667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed InterActive Philippines47c1,520$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed InterActive Philippines1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked InterActive Philippines31c1,461$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7522240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed InterActive Philippines30c1,304$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0262841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Mentality Monster49c1,290$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.534442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed InterActive Philippines13c1,278$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked InterActive Philippines35c1,238$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8330844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed InterActive Philippines27c1,027$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9720030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked InterActive Philippines50c1,003$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked InterActive Philippines32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Mentality Monster77c902.28$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0354058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines34c873.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.362,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed InterActive Philippines40c817.22$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.721,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Mentality Monster51c779.21$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5715050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed InterActive Philippines7c705.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.043323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed InterActive Philippines32c702.06$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Mentality Monster51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29415639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked InterActive Philippines45c589.49$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.351,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked InterActive Philippines44c537.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Mentality Monster71c536.77$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4956945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster66c522.48$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Mentality Monster59c515.13$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2761449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked InterActive Philippines15c512.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1531052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Mentality Monster59c500$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Mentality Monster57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mentality Monster65c481.63$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1530146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed InterActive Philippines47c459.65$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0458356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked InterActive Philippines19c453.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8832756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Mentality Monster63c441.05$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6734561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Mentality Monster51c381.39$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.814247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked InterActive Philippines34c329.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.340534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked InterActive Philippines24c309.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7689238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed InterActive Philippines14c307.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed InterActive Philippines7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4311353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed InterActive Philippines31c291$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.84351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked InterActive Philippines28c281$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5179341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed InterActive Philippines49c279.13$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6538759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Mentality Monster65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Mentality Monster57c249.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Mentality Monster71c247.7$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.715069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked InterActive Philippines33c240.52$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5711250.9%57 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed InterActive Philippines44c228.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed InterActive Philippines50c224.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2743067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Mentality Monster65c224.14$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9496245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed InterActive Philippines49c198$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.415347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed InterActive Philippines49c195.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.881,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Mentality Monster53c188.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8720949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Mentality Monster75c173.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed InterActive Philippines38c163.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.997659.2%45 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0472…c3bfbacked Mentality Monster54c153.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.388048.8%39 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed InterActive Philippines8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7178516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked InterActive Philippines26c125.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1253538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed InterActive Philippines19c123$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.164547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Mentality Monster74c111.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.061250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mentality Monster67c106.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7958943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed InterActive Philippines40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Mentality Monster56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed InterActive Philippines14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148647.7%41 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked InterActive Philippines23c91.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed InterActive Philippines18c88.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.876857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked InterActive Philippines20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0266545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed Mentality Monster53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.588736.8%32 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked InterActive Philippines47c69.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5573554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed InterActive Philippines53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.818356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Mentality Monster53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.254659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed InterActive Philippines52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Mentality Monster49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.517340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed InterActive Philippines43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked InterActive Philippines51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed InterActive Philippines41c42.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ac…fd38backed InterActive Philippines48c41.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed InterActive Philippines30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8881345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b32…5146backed InterActive Philippines53c30.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625356.5%143 W · 110 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Mentality Monster57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3221344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0a…ada0backed Mentality Monster70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…cb46backed InterActive Philippines50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.