Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa82a0c39ed1ca1a3df058c7a2937460341f36b8bebb44b0d72ad4e0c769193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof InterActive Philippines, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed InterActive Philippines | 30c | 4,963$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.28 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 1,694$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.7 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Mentality Monster | 77c | 1,386$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Mentality Monster | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed InterActive Philippines | 23c | 1,073$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Mentality Monster | 73c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed InterActive Philippines | 30c | 983.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 838.68$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed InterActive Philippines | 40c | 750.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Mentality Monster | 76c | 677.63$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.43 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Mentality Monster | 79c | 668.53$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mentality Monster | 66c | 645.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 586.87$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mentality Monster | 60c | 569.9$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 569.38$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.63 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…e567backed InterActive Philippines | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked InterActive Philippines | 39c | 518.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 501.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Mentality Monster | 69c | 483.87$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…2a38backed InterActive Philippines | 37c | 480.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked InterActive Philippines | 21c | 477.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mentality Monster | 62c | 444.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 411.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked InterActive Philippines | 29c | 327.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 255$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 240.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Mentality Monster | 77c | 226.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Mentality Monster | 60c | 219.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed InterActive Philippines | 11c | 192.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed InterActive Philippines | 15c | 191.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed InterActive Philippines | 17c | 191.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked InterActive Philippines | 19c | 186.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 174.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Mentality Monster | 66c | 163.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked InterActive Philippines | 9c | 163.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mentality Monster | 62c | 161.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 151.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 23c | 149.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 146.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Mentality Monster | 69c | 144.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Mentality Monster | 65c | 130.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed InterActive Philippines | 33c | 121.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed InterActive Philippines | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked InterActive Philippines | 32c | 114.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed InterActive Philippines | 47c | 114.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Mentality Monster | 57c | 108.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Mentality Monster | 60c | 99.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 80.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 79.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked InterActive Philippines | 25c | 76.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed InterActive Philippines | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Mentality Monster | 66c | 71.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed InterActive Philippines | 23c | 70.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked Mentality Monster | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…1f88backed InterActive Philippines | 25c | 62.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Mentality Monster | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Mentality Monster | 56c | 60.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed InterActive Philippines | 40c | 59.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked InterActive Philippines | 29c | 58.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Mentality Monster | 68c | 56.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Mentality Monster | 78c | 47.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Mentality Monster | 51c | 41.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…c764backed InterActive Philippines | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed InterActive Philippines | 34c | 37.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Mentality Monster | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…34e2backed InterActive Philippines | 41c | 27.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9427backed Mentality Monster | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Mentality Monster | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Mentality Monster | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mentality Monster | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…6c2fbacked Mentality Monster | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)Mentality Monster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.