Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f5bfca497cbc48a8369fa91f3d7cdfc839ccd586cbf719b726ce837e0fb211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof InterActive Philippines, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed InterActive Philippines | 45c | 939.68$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Mentality Monster | 75c | 842.87$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Mentality Monster | 72c | 741.39$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked InterActive Philippines | 43c | 609.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.64 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked InterActive Philippines | 31c | 526$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Mentality Monster | 39c | 515$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed InterActive Philippines | 47c | 489$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed InterActive Philippines | 65c | 487.84$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed InterActive Philippines | 46c | 459.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 43c | 459.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 350.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked InterActive Philippines | 37c | 252.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mentality Monster | 39c | 216.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 203.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked InterActive Philippines | 41c | 185.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 179.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Mentality Monster | 33c | 160$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed InterActive Philippines | 61c | 157$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed InterActive Philippines | 8c | 139.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Mentality Monster | 52c | 131.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked InterActive Philippines | 30c | 122.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 109.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed InterActive Philippines | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Mentality Monster | 71c | 98.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Mentality Monster | 46c | 90.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Mentality Monster | 52c | 90.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Mentality Monster | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed InterActive Philippines | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 77.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 69.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 58c | 69.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked InterActive Philippines | 39c | 67.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed InterActive Philippines | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Mentality Monster | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked InterActive Philippines | 55c | 30.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Mentality Monster | 39c | 30.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…fe7bbacked Mentality Monster | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMentality Monster won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)Mentality Monster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.