Earnings · resolved market
Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62056f9fc743a5213415ad1ec877894341ef46184d45f5f686d35e91a967bdf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 25c | 657.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 64c | 649.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 26c | 579.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 18c | 534.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…6858backed No | 32c | 531.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 22c | 508.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 40c | 470.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 25c | 456.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed Yes | 78c | 447.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 29c | 333.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 60c | 299.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 30c | 276.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 54c | 243.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 71c | 177.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 25c | 174.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 80c | 125.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…ddeebacked No | 33c | 118.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…a52abacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 68c | 91.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 90.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 71c | 84.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked No | 26c | 76.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 78c | 76.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 18c | 62.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…721bbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 69c | 53.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed Yes | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…8fc2backed Yes | 77c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…8909backed Yes | 78c | 31.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…65e8backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…fc71backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 40 | 87.5%35 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.