TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee6b…8486

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: F1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$99.92
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+283.1%+$70.79
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39%+$11.34
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.49
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Victoria Mbokobacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.5
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Joanna Garlandbacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$79
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$165.95
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+110.3%+$41.3
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$309.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$812.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.57
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$7.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$532.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.