TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Rinderknech, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Rinderknech38c32,411$12,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,321.710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Vacherot64c27,388$17,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,859.687857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech42c14,240$5,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,945.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Rinderknech71c13,463$9,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,522.472864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Vacherot49c9,828$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.9816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Rinderknech44c8,362$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6595630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Vacherot60c8,061$4,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Vacherot67c8,000$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Rinderknech45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rinderknech40c7,259$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.571,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vacherot44c6,368$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.312,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vacherot65c6,155$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Vacherot58c5,000$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.9966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rinderknech48c4,139$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Rinderknech45c4,000$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79833955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Vacherot55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.376149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Vacherot57c3,630$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.967147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Vacherot25c3,139$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.4924841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vacherot59c2,679$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.3912050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Vacherot55c2,469$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.856147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Vacherot50c2,278$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.217152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rinderknech40c2,041$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.4722037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Vacherot56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rinderknech44c1,884$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.771,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Rinderknech43c1,828$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Rinderknech45c1,753$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.9875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77f…cfbabacked Rinderknech2c1,715$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vacherot58c1,700$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0714549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Vacherot56c1,700$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74836440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Vacherot27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0958530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Vacherot59c1,486$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.2659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Vacherot69c1,456$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Vacherot55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.552646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Vacherot58c1,378$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8511060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Vacherot54c1,325$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.076752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Vacherot63c1,312$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rinderknech41c1,252$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.217823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd054…11aebacked Vacherot70c1,239$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rinderknech38c1,232$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vacherot55c1,226$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.541,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Vacherot56c1,211$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7138348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rinderknech41c1,150$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Vacherot62c1,125$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.314546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vacherot49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4128952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Vacherot79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…5920backed Vacherot62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9928…b366backed Rinderknech38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Rinderknech70c999$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.752450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Vacherot42c971.36$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Vacherot54c970.46$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rinderknech39c890.43$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.072,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Vacherot26c880$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Rinderknech42c833.23$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1757645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Rinderknech45c815.99$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0134…0e59backed Vacherot58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d25…37d4backed Rinderknech42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Vacherot62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30425244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Vacherot25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Rinderknech43c799.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Vacherot32c773$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x18d2…7b83backed Vacherot59c748.87$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.631060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4557…4212backed Rinderknech43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2167…7a98backed Vacherot55c682.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Vacherot51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Vacherot61c628.2$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Vacherot65c625$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0623852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Rinderknech48c621.59$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.571,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rinderknech41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab47…c287backed Rinderknech8c600$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Vacherot60c599.98$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.684946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb0…d67ebacked Rinderknech46c599.85$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Rinderknech41c556.38$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cd…627fbacked Vacherot63c544.27$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Vacherot58c520.25$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.258243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rinderknech39c512.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9228833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Vacherot49c505.83$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.977653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Rinderknech44c504.55$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22211647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Rinderknech44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Rinderknech34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vacherot48c481.11$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5817442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Vacherot63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Vacherot59c474.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.575050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Vacherot50c464.41$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.316835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Rinderknech44c457.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4617818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Vacherot55c454.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4218241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Rinderknech41c447.38$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Vacherot58c431.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa778…e03bbacked Vacherot60c407.7$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Vacherot46c403.25$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3213641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa17…1547backed Rinderknech54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Rinderknech50c398$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Rinderknech47c396.51$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Vacherot56c392.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.628537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Rinderknech51c385.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39a0…77d8backed Rinderknech38c382.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Vacherot55c380$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.25862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rinderknech45c377.93$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.732,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vacherot57c375.66$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.221,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbfe…825dbacked Vacherot75c369.17$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Rinderknech43c360$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.