TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3520…f128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+64.2%+$490.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,078.13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+45.7%+$256.16
Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$778.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+86.2%+$185.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$121.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$122.76
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$544.15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$832.36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$293.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$413.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$227.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$449.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$197.01
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$482.45
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+62.2%+$735.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$519
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+84.8%+$264.49
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+110.1%+$308.39
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.7%+$371.84
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST5362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,080.39
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,071
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$698.8
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+181.7%+$664.3
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$508.06
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+136.8%+$547.31
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$117.27
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+65.3%+$474
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$478
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$380
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+318.9%+$609.51
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+363.2%+$726.35
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$255
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$213
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.7%+$179.98
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$194
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+129.6%+$259.16
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.97
Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.14
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$201.71
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+205.9%+$226.44
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will CA Platense vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$454.99
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$252.65
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$167.8
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$285.4
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.34
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+71%+$475.52
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.86
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+31%+$34.3
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will CR Flamengo vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will EC Bahia vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+62.8%+$997.73
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$83.48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$203.67
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$894.43
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150.76
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,618Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+78%+$2,823.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$396.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$770
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,700
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$370.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,794Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29%+$519.63
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.5%+$78.47
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+79.4%+$34.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-84.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300.9
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$118.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$211.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$138.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$28.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.