South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceca96a0e5b88e69a1f4ee2c00fffd44476b70b8ce230e50a173fc7b7ee66779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes | 31c | 16,253$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 16,189$11,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.68 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 4,194$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 4,100$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 67c | 2,129$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.49 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…1d72backed Yes | 31c | 1,130$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,081$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…0c9fbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 33c | 576.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 29c | 453$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 365.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 284.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 271.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 42c | 238.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 234.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…715fbacked No | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 31c | 226.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…d7d7backed No | 69c | 220.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 68c | 217.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 70c | 211.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…bd5bbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…9676backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…6155backed Yes | 33c | 187.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 75c | 151.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…df91backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…adafbacked No | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes | 41c | 122.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 119.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 113.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…a1bfbacked Yes | 31c | 109.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…8f33backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 29c | 74.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 41c | 73.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 28c | 72.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…e326backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…0169backed Yes | 32c | 69.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 31c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…df6fbacked Yes | 34c | 64.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…aa96backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 29c | 59.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…feccbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a83…9516backed Yes | 34c | 58.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…e722backed Yes | 31c | 48.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…c599backed Yes | 32c | 46.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 71c | 35.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 31c | 32.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 26.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…ea0bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.