South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f954a0d79a5cc8461af3170d70bba02d58e0b8de3e7ec9b766a8440e660ed92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 41c | 6,145$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,977$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 43c | 5,108$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 4,175$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.28 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 4,173$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.88 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 43c | 1,637$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed No | 58c | 1,145$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 41c | 883.5$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 26c | 499.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 241.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 43c | 232.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 228.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 43c | 224.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…6155backed Yes | 42c | 187.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 38c | 154.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked No | 62c | 154.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…0175backed Yes | 26c | 127.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…94bebacked Yes | 37c | 117.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 41c | 108.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed No | 59c | 101.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 97.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Yes | 36c | 96.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 62c | 87.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 57c | 83.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 43c | 81.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…b08bbacked Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 42c | 68.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 54.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…95c9backed Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb190…b317backed Yes | 41c | 46.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…0a03backed Yes | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb264…a979backed Yes | 37c | 37.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…f296backed Yes | 43c | 36.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 55c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 43c | 34.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 29.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…e99ebacked Yes | 43c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.