TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbecb…7824

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.04
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.58
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.98
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$3.04
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.06
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.65
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$28.49
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.89
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.95
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$22.59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Binghamton Bearcatsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.