Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b3a34c1b557416f86662fd29e1458f62be82500bf88218a132e66d637f5544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.99 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 28,759$13,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,516.62 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…30d2backed No | 48c | 3,190$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 2,892$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.47 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 2,672$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 28c | 2,617$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 1,927$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.35 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 1,573$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 47c | 964.88$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.49 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…3208backed Yes | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 755.66$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 687.6$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 52c | 685.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 609$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 11c | 393.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 47c | 379$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…ac03backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 368.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 310$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 367 | 62.9%231 W · 136 L | +32.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 53c | 209$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 369 | 45.8%169 W · 200 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 22c | 149.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 32c | 141.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 867 | 48.7%422 W · 445 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 46c | 119.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 428 | 40.4%173 W · 255 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 87.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 83.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 756 | 58.6%443 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 47c | 50.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 46c | 46.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…8107backed Yes | 54c | 40.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 28.1%153 W · 391 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 52c | 37.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…4f26backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 52c | 31.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 23.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed No | 48c | 23.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…29d9backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.