TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c6e…ccc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.6
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Nottingham Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-79.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.67
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.16
Will Noah Baumbach be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.57
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+65.1%+$10.76
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.38
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.69
Will "Stranger Things" have 4+ seasons in Netflix's top 5 this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$48.31
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.15
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$75.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SBV Excelsior (-0.5)backed SBV Excelsior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.