Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079b1e739ee6e62f7212e45fbbaabcf180b7c31aee6eefe63d72526a2e8a1006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenalof Arsenal, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 45c | 17,266$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal | 55c | 15,208$8,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.59 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Burnley FC | 46c | 5,901$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Arsenal | 54c | 3,852$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arsenal | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Burnley FC | 10c | 2,471$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal | 54c | 743.85$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Arsenal | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Burnley FC | 46c | 444.41$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.41 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Burnley FC | 48c | 380.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Arsenal | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Arsenal | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Arsenal | 54c | 326.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Arsenal | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Burnley FC | 46c | 207.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Arsenal | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Burnley FC | 46c | 199.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Burnley FC | 48c | 197.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Burnley FC | 52c | 193.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Arsenal | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Arsenal | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…3717backed Burnley FC | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…8b6ebacked Arsenal | 54c | 104.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Arsenal | 55c | 101.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Arsenal | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Burnley FC | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Arsenal | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Arsenal | 52c | 96.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…33e2backed Arsenal | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…75f2backed Arsenal | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…77f0backed Burnley FC | 77c | 76.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1109…d2f0backed Arsenal | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Arsenal | 51c | 55.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Arsenal | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…9155backed Arsenal | 53c | 50.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Arsenal | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Arsenal | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Arsenal | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…b95dbacked Arsenal | 53c | 45.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Arsenal | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Burnley FC | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…66b0backed Burnley FC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Arsenal | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535d…6ff7backed Arsenal | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…9e28backed Arsenal | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Arsenal | 55c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Arsenal | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…b676backed Arsenal | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Arsenal | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.